Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 3.637326 4.311577 5.039743 5.880411 6.819952 7.833514 9.005346
2025-11-30 2.760062 3.673389 4.740317 6.061280 7.634933 9.432026 11.621132
2025-12-07 2.045090 3.056488 4.331543 6.015315 8.137232 10.680013 13.912414
2025-12-14 1.431725 2.425112 3.781242 5.690553 8.229045 11.408577 15.606848
2025-12-21 1.016980 1.960493 3.355054 5.441615 8.354562 12.148240 17.323394
2025-12-28 0.844627 1.812233 3.336388 5.725738 9.184264 13.816976 20.283751
2026-01-04 0.732709 1.733268 3.400749 6.121126 10.179113 15.740830 23.648885
2026-01-11 0.630808 1.645385 3.431706 6.457641 11.098258 17.591718 26.977713
2026-01-18 0.504304 1.476183 3.298422 6.516450 11.601722 18.875727 29.572730
2026-01-25 0.374166 1.258230 3.041348 6.340262 11.726065 19.613131 31.424009
2026-02-01 0.278207 1.081840 2.826203 6.201838 11.884473 20.388666 33.335682
2026-02-08 0.206087 0.934685 2.638443 6.083329 12.054031 21.172105 35.266589
2026-02-15 0.151190 0.811589 2.480907 6.008314 12.299221 22.095628 37.459701
2026-02-22 0.129385 0.782168 2.521395 6.304085 13.174925 24.007238 41.150798
2026-03-01 0.097262 0.698648 2.422623 6.320927 13.575471 25.198706 43.811638
2026-03-08 0.060897 0.567539 2.178593 6.019345 13.400013 25.476615 45.111022
2026-03-15 0.037382 0.465428 1.979192 5.779401 13.308403 25.871908 46.585578
2026-03-22 0.031892 0.457043 2.035111 6.087894 14.223708 27.913842 50.618827
2026-03-29 0.029180 0.464706 2.138825 6.508305 15.361437 30.345920 55.299983
2026-04-05 0.025522 0.462285 2.211785 6.864353 16.391846 32.625787 59.787484
2026-04-12 0.018320 0.421578 2.158332 6.928222 16.873880 34.011976 62.912216
2026-04-19 0.010610 0.355907 2.006077 6.745199 16.872211 34.588493 64.777795
2026-04-26 0.005877 0.302663 1.877665 6.601047 16.931992 35.262368 66.802634